Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2019 W5 · NE at WAS	85% / 15%	33–7	70%	Correct
2019 W5 · NYJ at PHI	18% / 82%	6–31	65%	Correct
2019 W5 · TB at NO	47% / 53%	24–31	48%	Correct
2019 W4 · CAR at HOU	30% / 70%	16–10	56%	Miss
2019 W4 · CIN at PIT	25% / 75%	3–27	60%	Correct
2019 W4 · CLE at BAL	6% / 94%	40–25	74%	Miss
2019 W4 · DAL at NO	47% / 53%	10–12	45%	Correct
2019 W4 · JAX at DEN	43% / 57%	26–24	47%	Miss
2019 W4 · KC at DET	66% / 34%	34–30	54%	Correct
2019 W4 · LAC at MIA	91% / 9%	30–10	72%	Correct
2019 W4 · LV at IND	14% / 86%	31–24	68%	Miss
2019 W4 · MIN at CHI	38% / 62%	6–16	51%	Correct
2019 W4 · NE at BUF	84% / 16%	16–10	67%	Correct
2019 W4 · PHI at GB	54% / 46%	34–27	45%	Correct
2019 W4 · SEA at ARI	88% / 12%	27–10	69%	Correct
2019 W4 · TB at LAR	30% / 70%	55–40	57%	Miss
2019 W4 · TEN at ATL	51% / 49%	24–10	43%	Correct
2019 W4 · WAS at NYG	41% / 59%	3–24	49%	Correct
2019 W3 · ATL at IND	22% / 78%	24–27	58%	Correct
2019 W3 · BAL at KC	59% / 41%	28–33	46%	Miss
2019 W3 · CAR at ARI	73% / 27%	38–20	55%	Correct
2019 W3 · CHI at WAS	54% / 46%	31–15	42%	Correct
2019 W3 · CIN at BUF	47% / 53%	17–21	41%	Correct
2019 W3 · DEN at GB	40% / 60%	16–27	46%	Correct
2019 W3 · DET at PHI	25% / 75%	27–24	57%	Miss
2019 W3 · HOU at LAC	50% / 50%	27–20	39%	Miss
2019 W3 · LAR at CLE	71% / 29%	20–13	54%	Correct
2019 W3 · LV at MIN	20% / 80%	14–34	60%	Correct
2019 W3 · MIA at DAL	4% / 96%	6–31	71%	Correct
2019 W3 · NO at SEA	19% / 81%	33–27	61%	Miss
2019 W3 · NYG at TB	36% / 64%	32–31	49%	Miss
2019 W3 · NYJ at NE	9% / 91%	14–30	68%	Correct
2019 W3 · PIT at SF	24% / 76%	20–24	57%	Correct
2019 W3 · TEN at JAX	51% / 49%	7–20	40%	Miss
2019 W2 · ARI at BAL	2% / 98%	17–23	67%	Correct
2019 W2 · BUF at NYG	17% / 83%	28–14	57%	Miss
2019 W2 · CHI at DEN	59% / 41%	16–14	40%	Correct
2019 W2 · CLE at NYJ	34% / 66%	23–3	45%	Miss
2019 W2 · DAL at WAS	44% / 56%	31–21	38%	Miss
2019 W2 · IND at TEN	53% / 47%	19–17	36%	Correct