Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills

Before kickoff

CIN

47%

BUF

53%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

41%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–21

Winner BUF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.7 CIN
• Rushing defense+0.5 BUF
• Passing offense+0.4 BUF
• Offensive touchdowns−0.3 CIN