Buffalo Bills at New York Giants

Before kickoff

BUF

17%

NYG

83%

Predicted winner

NYG

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

28–14

Winner BUF. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense−0.5 BUF
• Win percentage+0.5 NYG
• Interception rate+0.5 NYG
• Passing defense−0.5 BUF