Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

MIN

38%

CHI

62%

Predicted winner

CHI

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–16

Winner CHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.5 CHI
• Home field+0.3 CHI
• Win percentage−0.3 MIN
• Scoring−0.1 MIN