Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

CIN

25%

PIT

75%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

3–27

Winner PIT. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.5 PIT
• Home field+0.3 PIT
• Win percentage−0.3 CIN
• Scoring differential+0.2 PIT