Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams

Before kickoff

TB

30%

LAR

70%

Predicted winner

LAR

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

55–40

Winner TB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−1.1 TB
• Scoring differential+0.6 LAR
• Scoring+0.5 LAR
• Home field+0.3 LAR