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2019 · Week 5 · v0.2 · regular season

New York Jets at Philadelphia Eagles

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

NYJ
18%
PHI
82%
Predicted winner
PHI
Confidence
65%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

631

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Win percentage−0.8 NYJ
  • Scoring+0.7 PHI
  • Scoring differential+0.5 PHI
  • Passing offense−0.5 NYJ