Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins

Before kickoff

LAC

91%

MIA

9%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

72%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–10

Winner LAC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential−1.2 LAC
• Rushing defense−0.9 LAC
• Scoring−0.8 LAC
• Win percentage+0.6 MIA