Las Vegas Raiders at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

LV

20%

MIN

80%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–34

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential+0.6 MIN
• Win percentage−0.4 LV
• Scoring+0.4 MIN
• Home field+0.3 MIN