New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

NO

19%

SEA

81%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

33–27

Winner NO. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.4 SEA
• Passing offense+0.3 SEA
• Home field+0.3 SEA
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 SEA