Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

Before kickoff

CLE

34%

NYJ

66%

Predicted winner

NYJ

Confidence

45%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–3

Winner CLE. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Recent form−0.5 CLE
• Passing offense+0.4 NYJ
• Win percentage+0.3 NYJ
• Home field+0.3 NYJ