Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans

Before kickoff

CAR

30%

HOU

70%

Predicted winner

HOU

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–10

Winner CAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.6 CAR
• Rushing defense+0.4 HOU
• Home field+0.3 HOU
• Passing defense−0.3 CAR