Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2024 W15 · BAL at NYG	88% / 12%	35–14	82%	Correct
2024 W15 · BUF at DET	41% / 59%	48–42	62%	Miss
2024 W15 · CHI at MIN	29% / 71%	12–30	71%	Correct
2024 W15 · CIN at TEN	59% / 41%	37–27	62%	Correct
2024 W15 · DAL at CAR	65% / 35%	30–14	66%	Correct
2024 W15 · GB at SEA	60% / 40%	30–13	63%	Correct
2024 W15 · IND at DEN	32% / 68%	13–31	69%	Correct
2024 W15 · KC at CLE	62% / 38%	21–7	65%	Correct
2024 W15 · LAR at SF	38% / 62%	12–6	64%	Miss
2024 W15 · MIA at HOU	39% / 61%	12–20	64%	Correct
2024 W15 · NE at ARI	40% / 60%	17–30	63%	Correct
2024 W15 · NYJ at JAX	59% / 41%	32–25	62%	Correct
2024 W15 · PIT at PHI	44% / 56%	13–27	60%	Correct
2024 W15 · TB at LAC	49% / 51%	40–17	57%	Miss
2024 W15 · WAS at NO	59% / 41%	20–19	62%	Correct
2024 W14 · ATL at MIN	29% / 71%	21–42	70%	Correct
2024 W14 · BUF at LAR	65% / 35%	42–44	66%	Miss
2024 W14 · CAR at PHI	14% / 86%	16–22	80%	Correct
2024 W14 · CHI at SF	45% / 55%	13–38	59%	Correct
2024 W14 · CIN at DAL	53% / 48%	27–20	57%	Correct
2024 W14 · CLE at PIT	28% / 72%	14–27	71%	Correct
2024 W14 · GB at DET	33% / 67%	31–34	67%	Correct
2024 W14 · JAX at TEN	31% / 69%	10–6	69%	Miss
2024 W14 · LAC at KC	33% / 67%	17–19	67%	Correct
2024 W14 · LV at TB	24% / 76%	13–28	74%	Correct
2024 W14 · NO at NYG	72% / 28%	14–11	70%	Correct
2024 W14 · NYJ at MIA	33% / 67%	26–32	67%	Correct
2024 W14 · SEA at ARI	42% / 58%	30–18	61%	Miss
2024 W13 · ARI at MIN	32% / 68%	22–23	67%	Correct
2024 W13 · CHI at DET	25% / 75%	20–23	72%	Correct
2024 W13 · CLE at DEN	39% / 61%	32–41	62%	Correct
2024 W13 · HOU at JAX	73% / 27%	23–20	70%	Correct
2024 W13 · IND at NE	50% / 50%	25–24	55%	Miss
2024 W13 · LAC at ATL	46% / 54%	17–13	57%	Miss
2024 W13 · LAR at NO	41% / 59%	21–14	61%	Miss
2024 W13 · LV at KC	22% / 78%	17–19	74%	Correct
2024 W13 · MIA at GB	43% / 57%	17–30	59%	Correct
2024 W13 · NYG at DAL	25% / 75%	20–27	72%	Correct
2024 W13 · PHI at BAL	39% / 61%	24–19	63%	Miss
2024 W13 · PIT at CIN	49% / 51%	44–38	55%	Miss