Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos

Before kickoff

IND

32%

DEN

68%

Predicted winner

DEN

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–31

Winner DEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 DEN
• QB completion %−0.3 IND
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 DEN
• Rushing defense+0.2 DEN