Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

DAL

65%

CAR

35%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–14

Winner DAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CAR
• Scoring−0.3 DAL
• Scoring differential−0.2 DAL
• Rushing defense−0.1 DAL