Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams

Before kickoff

BUF

65%

LAR

35%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

42–44

Winner LAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 LAR
• Scoring−0.4 BUF
• Scoring differential−0.3 BUF
• Rushing defense−0.1 BUF