Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

ATL

29%

MIN

71%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

70%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–42

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 MIN
• Rushing defense+0.2 MIN
• Scoring differential+0.2 MIN
• Scoring+0.2 MIN