Philadelphia Eagles at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

PHI

39%

BAL

61%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–19

Winner PHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 BAL
• Scoring+0.2 BAL
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 BAL
• Passing defense−0.2 PHI