Las Vegas Raiders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Before kickoff

LV

24%

TB

76%

Predicted winner

TB

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–28

Winner TB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.8 TB
• Home field+0.6 TB
• Scoring+0.4 TB
• QB completion %−0.3 LV