Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

KC

62%

CLE

38%

Predicted winner

KC

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–7

Winner KC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CLE
• Scoring differential−0.3 KC
• Scoring−0.2 KC
• Rushing defense−0.2 KC