Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2024 W13 · SEA at NYJ	40% / 60%	26–21	62%	Miss
2024 W13 · SF at BUF	21% / 79%	10–35	75%	Correct
2024 W13 · TB at CAR	74% / 26%	26–23	71%	Correct
2024 W13 · TEN at WAS	29% / 71%	19–42	69%	Correct
2024 W12 · ARI at SEA	57% / 43%	6–16	59%	Miss
2024 W12 · BAL at LAC	64% / 36%	30–23	64%	Correct
2024 W12 · DAL at WAS	28% / 72%	34–26	69%	Miss
2024 W12 · DEN at LV	60% / 40%	29–19	61%	Correct
2024 W12 · DET at IND	74% / 26%	24–6	71%	Correct
2024 W12 · KC at CAR	78% / 22%	30–27	74%	Correct
2024 W12 · MIN at CHI	58% / 42%	30–27	60%	Correct
2024 W12 · NE at MIA	26% / 74%	15–34	71%	Correct
2024 W12 · PHI at LAR	63% / 37%	37–20	63%	Correct
2024 W12 · PIT at CLE	66% / 35%	19–24	65%	Miss
2024 W12 · SF at GB	56% / 44%	10–38	58%	Miss
2024 W12 · TB at NYG	78% / 22%	30–7	74%	Correct
2024 W12 · TEN at HOU	26% / 74%	32–27	71%	Miss
2024 W11 · ATL at DEN	46% / 54%	6–38	56%	Correct
2024 W11 · BAL at PIT	59% / 41%	16–18	59%	Miss
2024 W11 · CIN at LAC	52% / 48%	27–34	54%	Miss
2024 W11 · CLE at NO	46% / 54%	14–35	56%	Correct
2024 W11 · GB at CHI	59% / 41%	20–19	59%	Correct
2024 W11 · HOU at DAL	59% / 41%	34–10	60%	Correct
2024 W11 · IND at NYJ	39% / 61%	28–27	62%	Miss
2024 W11 · JAX at DET	13% / 87%	6–52	79%	Correct
2024 W11 · KC at BUF	43% / 57%	21–30	58%	Correct
2024 W11 · LAR at NE	58% / 42%	28–22	59%	Correct
2024 W11 · LV at MIA	36% / 64%	19–34	63%	Correct
2024 W11 · MIN at TEN	69% / 31%	23–13	66%	Correct
2024 W11 · SEA at SF	27% / 73%	20–17	69%	Miss
2024 W11 · WAS at PHI	35% / 65%	18–26	63%	Correct
2024 W10 · ATL at NO	53% / 47%	17–20	55%	Miss
2024 W10 · BUF at IND	76% / 24%	30–20	71%	Correct
2024 W10 · CIN at BAL	28% / 72%	34–35	68%	Correct
2024 W10 · DEN at KC	31% / 69%	14–16	65%	Correct
2024 W10 · DET at HOU	52% / 48%	26–23	53%	Correct
2024 W10 · MIA at LAR	43% / 57%	23–15	57%	Miss
2024 W10 · MIN at JAX	63% / 37%	12–7	61%	Correct
2024 W10 · NE at CHI	25% / 75%	19–3	70%	Miss
2024 W10 · NYG at CAR	59% / 41%	17–20	59%	Miss