Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

Back to model dashboard

Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2022 W3 · CIN at NYJ	62% / 38%	27–12	48%	Correct
2022 W3 · DAL at NYG	55% / 45%	23–16	43%	Correct
2022 W3 · DET at MIN	53% / 47%	24–28	41%	Miss
2022 W3 · GB at TB	38% / 62%	14–12	47%	Miss
2022 W3 · HOU at CHI	40% / 60%	20–23	46%	Correct
2022 W3 · JAX at LAC	26% / 74%	38–10	56%	Miss
2022 W3 · KC at IND	70% / 30%	17–20	53%	Miss
2022 W3 · LAR at ARI	41% / 59%	20–12	45%	Miss
2022 W3 · LV at TEN	38% / 62%	22–24	47%	Correct
2022 W3 · NO at CAR	72% / 28%	14–22	55%	Miss
2022 W3 · PHI at WAS	63% / 37%	24–8	48%	Correct
2022 W3 · PIT at CLE	27% / 73%	17–29	55%	Correct
2022 W3 · SF at DEN	51% / 49%	10–11	39%	Miss
2022 W2 · ARI at LV	59% / 41%	29–23	40%	Correct
2022 W2 · ATL at LAR	39% / 61%	27–31	42%	Correct
2022 W2 · CAR at NYG	38% / 62%	16–19	42%	Correct
2022 W2 · CHI at GB	31% / 69%	10–27	47%	Correct
2022 W2 · CIN at DAL	43% / 57%	17–20	39%	Correct
2022 W2 · HOU at DEN	25% / 75%	9–16	51%	Correct
2022 W2 · IND at JAX	75% / 25%	0–24	52%	Miss
2022 W2 · LAC at KC	32% / 68%	24–27	46%	Correct
2022 W2 · MIA at BAL	44% / 56%	42–38	38%	Miss
2022 W2 · MIN at PHI	32% / 68%	7–24	47%	Correct
2022 W2 · NE at PIT	59% / 41%	17–14	40%	Correct
2022 W2 · NYJ at CLE	22% / 78%	31–30	53%	Miss
2022 W2 · SEA at SF	41% / 59%	7–27	40%	Correct
2022 W2 · TB at NO	53% / 47%	20–10	36%	Correct
2022 W2 · TEN at BUF	31% / 69%	7–41	47%	Correct
2022 W2 · WAS at DET	54% / 46%	27–36	37%	Miss
2022 W1 · BAL at NYJ	63% / 37%	24–9	35%	Correct
2022 W1 · BUF at LAR	62% / 38%	31–10	34%	Correct
2022 W1 · CLE at CAR	47% / 53%	26–24	28%	Miss
2022 W1 · DEN at SEA	44% / 56%	16–17	30%	Correct
2022 W1 · GB at MIN	62% / 38%	7–23	34%	Miss
2022 W1 · JAX at WAS	32% / 68%	22–28	39%	Correct
2022 W1 · KC at ARI	48% / 52%	44–21	27%	Miss
2022 W1 · LV at LAC	38% / 62%	19–24	34%	Correct
2022 W1 · NE at MIA	59% / 41%	7–20	32%	Miss
2022 W1 · NO at ATL	63% / 37%	27–26	35%	Correct
2022 W1 · NYG at TEN	14% / 86%	21–20	51%	Miss