Arizona Cardinals at Las Vegas Raiders

Before kickoff

ARI

59%

LV

41%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

40%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

29–23

Winner ARI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 LV
• Interception rate−0.3 ARI
• Scoring−0.2 ARI
• Turnovers+0.2 LV