Carolina Panthers at New York Giants

Before kickoff

CAR

38%

NYG

62%

Predicted winner

NYG

Confidence

42%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–19

Winner NYG. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.5 NYG
• Home field+0.4 NYG
• Passing defense−0.3 CAR
• Scoring−0.2 CAR