New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

NO

63%

ATL

37%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

35%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–26

Winner NO. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.4 NO
• Home field+0.4 ATL
• Points allowed+0.2 ATL
• Scoring differential−0.2 NO