Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

DEN

44%

SEA

56%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

30%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–17

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 SEA
• Passing defense−0.3 DEN
• Scoring+0.2 SEA
• Offensive touchdowns+0.1 SEA