Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

MIA

44%

BAL

56%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

38%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

42–38

Winner MIA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 BAL
• Passing defense−0.3 MIA
• Interception rate−0.2 MIA
• Rushing defense+0.2 BAL