Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

Before kickoff

SEA

41%

SF

59%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

40%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

7–27

Winner SF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense+0.5 SF
• Home field+0.4 SF
• Interception rate−0.3 SEA
• Offensive touchdowns−0.1 SEA