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2022 · Week 1 · v0.2 · regular season

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

GB
62%
MIN
38%
Predicted winner
GB
Confidence
34%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

723

Winner MIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.4 MIN
  • Passing defense−0.2 GB
  • Rushing defense−0.2 GB
  • Win percentage−0.1 GB