Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

WAS

54%

DET

46%

Predicted winner

WAS

Confidence

37%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–36

Winner DET. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.4 WAS
• Home field+0.4 DET
• Win percentage−0.2 WAS
• Points allowed+0.2 DET