Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2022 W1 · PHI at DET	71% / 29%	38–35	41%	Correct
2022 W1 · PIT at CIN	33% / 67%	23–20	38%	Miss
2022 W1 · SF at CHI	69% / 31%	10–19	39%	Miss
2022 W1 · TB at DAL	47% / 53%	19–3	28%	Miss
2021 W18 · CAR at TB	16% / 84%	17–41	81%	Correct
2021 W18 · CHI at MIN	38% / 62%	17–31	66%	Correct
2021 W18 · CIN at CLE	49% / 51%	16–21	58%	Correct
2021 W18 · DAL at PHI	46% / 54%	51–26	60%	Miss
2021 W18 · GB at DET	86% / 14%	30–37	82%	Miss
2021 W18 · IND at JAX	85% / 15%	11–26	82%	Miss
2021 W18 · KC at DEN	64% / 36%	28–24	67%	Correct
2021 W18 · LAC at LV	58% / 42%	32–35	62%	Miss
2021 W18 · NE at MIA	58% / 42%	24–33	63%	Miss
2021 W18 · NO at ATL	59% / 41%	30–20	64%	Correct
2021 W18 · NYJ at BUF	11% / 89%	10–27	85%	Correct
2021 W18 · PIT at BAL	57% / 43%	16–13	62%	Correct
2021 W18 · SEA at ARI	40% / 60%	38–30	64%	Miss
2021 W18 · SF at LAR	33% / 67%	27–24	69%	Miss
2021 W18 · TEN at HOU	77% / 23%	28–25	76%	Correct
2021 W18 · WAS at NYG	56% / 44%	22–7	61%	Correct
2021 W17 · ARI at DAL	44% / 56%	25–22	61%	Miss
2021 W17 · ATL at BUF	18% / 82%	15–29	79%	Correct
2021 W17 · CAR at NO	24% / 76%	10–18	75%	Correct
2021 W17 · CLE at PIT	46% / 54%	14–26	59%	Correct
2021 W17 · DEN at LAC	26% / 74%	13–34	74%	Correct
2021 W17 · DET at SEA	22% / 78%	29–51	76%	Correct
2021 W17 · HOU at SF	19% / 81%	7–23	78%	Correct
2021 W17 · JAX at NE	22% / 78%	10–50	77%	Correct
2021 W17 · KC at CIN	52% / 48%	31–34	58%	Miss
2021 W17 · LAR at BAL	68% / 32%	20–19	69%	Correct
2021 W17 · LV at IND	25% / 75%	23–20	74%	Miss
2021 W17 · MIA at TEN	31% / 69%	3–34	70%	Correct
2021 W17 · MIN at GB	26% / 74%	10–37	73%	Correct
2021 W17 · NYG at CHI	39% / 61%	3–29	64%	Correct
2021 W17 · PHI at WAS	70% / 30%	20–16	71%	Correct
2021 W17 · TB at NYJ	85% / 15%	28–24	82%	Correct
2021 W16 · BAL at CIN	40% / 60%	21–41	63%	Correct
2021 W16 · BUF at NE	69% / 31%	33–21	70%	Correct
2021 W16 · CHI at SEA	33% / 67%	25–24	68%	Miss
2021 W16 · CLE at GB	18% / 82%	22–24	79%	Correct