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2022 · Week 3 · v0.2 · regular season

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

DET
53%
MIN
47%
Predicted winner
DET
Confidence
41%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

2428

Winner MIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.4 MIN
  • Points allowed−0.2 DET
  • QB yards/attempt+0.2 MIN
  • Scoring−0.2 DET