Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

CIN

52%

LAC

48%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

54%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–34

Winner LAC. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 LAC
• Scoring−0.3 CIN
• Offensive touchdowns−0.2 CIN
• Interception rate+0.1 LAC