Seattle Seahawks at New York Jets

Before kickoff

SEA

40%

NYJ

60%

Predicted winner

NYJ

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–21

Winner SEA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 NYJ
• Scoring−0.2 SEA
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 SEA
• Passing efficiency+0.2 NYJ