Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

PIT

66%

CLE

35%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

19–24

Winner CLE. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CLE
• QB yards/attempt−0.5 PIT
• Scoring differential−0.3 PIT
• Scoring−0.2 PIT