Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2024 W10 · NYJ at ARI	43% / 57%	6–31	58%	Correct
2024 W10 · PHI at DAL	63% / 37%	34–6	61%	Correct
2024 W10 · PIT at WAS	58% / 42%	28–27	58%	Correct
2024 W10 · SF at TB	61% / 39%	23–20	59%	Correct
2024 W10 · TEN at LAC	32% / 68%	17–27	65%	Correct
2024 W9 · CHI at ARI	51% / 49%	9–29	52%	Miss
2024 W9 · DAL at ATL	48% / 52%	21–27	52%	Correct
2024 W9 · DEN at BAL	25% / 75%	10–41	69%	Correct
2024 W9 · DET at GB	55% / 45%	24–14	55%	Correct
2024 W9 · HOU at NYJ	60% / 40%	13–21	59%	Miss
2024 W9 · IND at MIN	26% / 74%	13–21	67%	Correct
2024 W9 · JAX at PHI	31% / 69%	23–28	64%	Correct
2024 W9 · LAC at CLE	50% / 50%	27–10	51%	Miss
2024 W9 · LAR at SEA	50% / 50%	26–20	51%	Miss
2024 W9 · LV at CIN	30% / 70%	24–41	66%	Correct
2024 W9 · MIA at BUF	21% / 79%	27–30	71%	Correct
2024 W9 · NE at TEN	37% / 63%	17–20	60%	Correct
2024 W9 · NO at CAR	66% / 34%	22–23	63%	Miss
2024 W9 · TB at KC	39% / 61%	24–30	58%	Correct
2024 W9 · WAS at NYG	73% / 27%	27–22	68%	Correct
2024 W8 · ARI at MIA	63% / 37%	28–27	59%	Correct
2024 W8 · ATL at TB	36% / 64%	31–26	61%	Miss
2024 W8 · BAL at CLE	82% / 18%	24–29	73%	Miss
2024 W8 · BUF at SEA	64% / 36%	31–10	61%	Correct
2024 W8 · CAR at DEN	24% / 76%	14–28	69%	Correct
2024 W8 · CHI at WAS	59% / 41%	15–18	56%	Miss
2024 W8 · DAL at SF	40% / 60%	24–30	57%	Correct
2024 W8 · GB at JAX	58% / 42%	30–27	56%	Correct
2024 W8 · IND at HOU	26% / 74%	20–23	68%	Correct
2024 W8 · KC at LV	74% / 26%	27–20	66%	Correct
2024 W8 · MIN at LAR	65% / 35%	20–30	60%	Miss
2024 W8 · NO at LAC	41% / 59%	8–26	56%	Correct
2024 W8 · NYG at PIT	15% / 85%	18–26	75%	Correct
2024 W8 · NYJ at NE	55% / 45%	22–25	54%	Miss
2024 W8 · PHI at CIN	50% / 50%	37–17	49%	Miss
2024 W8 · TEN at DET	18% / 82%	14–52	72%	Correct
2024 W7 · BAL at TB	57% / 43%	41–31	55%	Correct
2024 W7 · CAR at WAS	25% / 75%	7–40	67%	Correct
2024 W7 · CIN at CLE	51% / 49%	21–14	50%	Correct
2024 W7 · DEN at NO	43% / 57%	33–10	54%	Miss