Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

Before kickoff

TEN

26%

HOU

74%

Predicted winner

HOU

Confidence

71%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

32–27

Winner TEN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 HOU
• QB yards/attempt+0.5 HOU
• Scoring+0.3 HOU
• Interception rate+0.3 HOU