Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2025 W16 · LV at HOU	12% / 88%	21–23	83%	Correct
2025 W16 · MIN at NYG	55% / 45%	16–13	60%	Correct
2025 W16 · NE at BAL	42% / 58%	28–24	62%	Miss
2025 W16 · NYJ at NO	42% / 58%	6–29	62%	Correct
2025 W16 · PHI at WAS	67% / 33%	29–18	68%	Correct
2025 W16 · PIT at DET	25% / 75%	29–24	74%	Miss
2025 W16 · SF at IND	56% / 44%	48–27	61%	Correct
2025 W16 · TB at CAR	65% / 35%	20–23	67%	Miss
2025 W15 · ARI at HOU	39% / 61%	20–40	63%	Correct
2025 W15 · ATL at TB	26% / 74%	29–28	73%	Miss
2025 W15 · BAL at CIN	64% / 36%	24–0	65%	Correct
2025 W15 · BUF at NE	47% / 53%	35–31	58%	Miss
2025 W15 · CAR at NO	56% / 44%	17–20	60%	Miss
2025 W15 · CLE at CHI	35% / 65%	3–31	66%	Correct
2025 W15 · DET at LAR	47% / 53%	34–41	58%	Correct
2025 W15 · GB at DEN	46% / 54%	26–34	59%	Correct
2025 W15 · IND at SEA	23% / 77%	16–18	75%	Correct
2025 W15 · LAC at KC	42% / 58%	16–13	61%	Miss
2025 W15 · LV at PHI	17% / 83%	0–31	79%	Correct
2025 W15 · MIA at PIT	47% / 53%	15–28	58%	Correct
2025 W15 · MIN at DAL	25% / 75%	34–26	73%	Miss
2025 W15 · NYJ at JAX	25% / 75%	20–48	73%	Correct
2025 W15 · TEN at SF	20% / 80%	24–37	77%	Correct
2025 W15 · WAS at NYG	54% / 46%	29–21	58%	Correct
2025 W14 · CHI at GB	35% / 65%	21–28	66%	Correct
2025 W14 · CIN at BUF	23% / 77%	34–39	74%	Correct
2025 W14 · DAL at DET	32% / 68%	30–44	68%	Correct
2025 W14 · DEN at LV	77% / 23%	24–17	74%	Correct
2025 W14 · HOU at KC	29% / 71%	20–10	70%	Miss
2025 W14 · IND at JAX	59% / 41%	19–36	62%	Miss
2025 W14 · LAR at ARI	63% / 37%	45–17	64%	Correct
2025 W14 · MIA at NYJ	54% / 46%	34–10	58%	Correct
2025 W14 · NO at TB	21% / 79%	24–20	76%	Miss
2025 W14 · PHI at LAC	50% / 50%	19–22	55%	Correct
2025 W14 · PIT at BAL	26% / 74%	27–22	72%	Miss
2025 W14 · SEA at ATL	71% / 29%	37–9	70%	Correct
2025 W14 · TEN at CLE	34% / 66%	31–29	66%	Miss
2025 W14 · WAS at MIN	64% / 36%	0–31	65%	Miss
2025 W13 · ARI at TB	45% / 55%	17–20	58%	Correct
2025 W13 · ATL at NYJ	48% / 52%	24–27	56%	Correct