San Francisco 49ers at Indianapolis Colts

Before kickoff

SF

56%

IND

44%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

48–27

Winner SF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.9 SF
• Home field+0.3 IND
• QB completion %+0.2 IND
• Rushing offense+0.1 IND