Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

PHI

50%

LAC

50%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

55%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

19–22

Winner LAC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 LAC
• Interception rate−0.1 PHI
• QB yards/attempt−0.1 PHI
• Rushing defense+0.1 LAC