Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

PHI

67%

WAS

33%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

29–18

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.6 PHI
• Home field+0.3 WAS
• QB completion %+0.2 WAS
• Win percentage−0.2 PHI