Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints

Before kickoff

CAR

56%

NO

44%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–20

Winner NO. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 NO
• Win percentage−0.1 CAR
• QB yards/attempt+0.1 NO
• Rest−0.1 CAR