Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

IND

23%

SEA

77%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

75%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–18

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+1.2 SEA
• Home field+0.3 SEA
• QB completion %−0.2 IND
• Passing efficiency−0.1 IND