Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2022 W17 · MIA at NE	42% / 58%	21–23	62%	Correct
2022 W17 · MIN at GB	42% / 58%	17–41	62%	Correct
2022 W17 · NO at PHI	39% / 61%	20–10	65%	Miss
2022 W17 · NYJ at SEA	24% / 76%	6–23	75%	Correct
2022 W17 · PIT at BAL	23% / 77%	16–13	76%	Miss
2022 W17 · SF at LV	65% / 35%	37–34	67%	Correct
2022 W16 · ATL at BAL	27% / 73%	9–17	73%	Correct
2022 W16 · BUF at CHI	73% / 27%	35–13	73%	Correct
2022 W16 · CIN at NE	55% / 45%	22–18	60%	Correct
2022 W16 · DEN at LAR	36% / 64%	14–51	66%	Correct
2022 W16 · DET at CAR	57% / 43%	23–37	61%	Miss
2022 W16 · GB at MIA	51% / 49%	26–20	57%	Correct
2022 W16 · HOU at TEN	16% / 84%	19–14	80%	Miss
2022 W16 · JAX at NYJ	63% / 37%	19–3	65%	Correct
2022 W16 · LAC at IND	49% / 51%	20–3	57%	Miss
2022 W16 · LV at PIT	65% / 35%	10–13	67%	Miss
2022 W16 · NO at CLE	55% / 45%	17–10	60%	Correct
2022 W16 · NYG at MIN	38% / 62%	24–27	65%	Correct
2022 W16 · PHI at DAL	55% / 45%	34–40	60%	Miss
2022 W16 · SEA at KC	30% / 70%	10–24	70%	Correct
2022 W16 · TB at ARI	63% / 37%	19–16	65%	Correct
2022 W16 · WAS at SF	36% / 64%	20–37	66%	Correct
2022 W15 · ARI at DEN	42% / 58%	15–24	62%	Correct
2022 W15 · ATL at NO	43% / 57%	18–21	61%	Correct
2022 W15 · BAL at CLE	51% / 49%	3–13	57%	Miss
2022 W15 · CIN at TB	57% / 43%	34–23	61%	Correct
2022 W15 · DAL at JAX	68% / 32%	34–40	68%	Miss
2022 W15 · DET at NYJ	53% / 47%	20–17	58%	Correct
2022 W15 · IND at MIN	39% / 61%	36–39	63%	Correct
2022 W15 · KC at HOU	89% / 11%	30–24	83%	Correct
2022 W15 · LAR at GB	24% / 76%	12–24	74%	Correct
2022 W15 · MIA at BUF	30% / 70%	29–32	70%	Correct
2022 W15 · NE at LV	46% / 54%	24–30	59%	Correct
2022 W15 · NYG at WAS	40% / 60%	20–12	63%	Miss
2022 W15 · PHI at CHI	84% / 16%	25–20	80%	Correct
2022 W15 · PIT at CAR	34% / 66%	24–16	67%	Miss
2022 W15 · SF at SEA	48% / 52%	21–13	57%	Miss
2022 W15 · TEN at LAC	53% / 47%	14–17	58%	Miss
2022 W14 · BAL at PIT	50% / 50%	16–14	55%	Correct
2022 W14 · CAR at SEA	21% / 79%	30–24	75%	Miss