San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

SF

48%

SEA

52%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–13

Winner SF. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.7 SF
• QB yards/attempt+0.5 SEA
• Home field+0.4 SEA
• Points allowed+0.3 SEA