Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

DET

57%

CAR

43%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–37

Winner CAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.4 DET
• Home field+0.4 CAR
• Passing defense+0.3 CAR
• Scoring−0.3 DET