Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins

Before kickoff

GB

51%

MIA

49%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–20

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 MIA
• Passing defense−0.3 GB
• Rushing defense+0.3 MIA
• Passing offense−0.2 GB