San Francisco 49ers at Las Vegas Raiders

Before kickoff

SF

65%

LV

35%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

67%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

37–34

Winner SF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 LV
• Rushing defense−0.4 SF
• Points allowed+0.2 LV
• Scoring differential−0.2 SF