Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2025 W8 · SF at HOU	35% / 65%	15–26	60%	Correct
2025 W8 · TB at NO	74% / 26%	23–3	68%	Correct
2025 W8 · TEN at IND	13% / 87%	14–38	77%	Correct
2025 W8 · WAS at KC	36% / 64%	7–28	61%	Correct
2025 W7 · ATL at SF	53% / 47%	10–20	50%	Miss
2025 W7 · CAR at NYJ	51% / 49%	13–6	50%	Correct
2025 W7 · GB at ARI	66% / 34%	27–23	59%	Correct
2025 W7 · HOU at SEA	39% / 61%	19–27	55%	Correct
2025 W7 · IND at LAC	53% / 47%	38–24	51%	Correct
2025 W7 · LAR at JAX	60% / 40%	35–7	56%	Correct
2025 W7 · LV at KC	22% / 78%	0–31	69%	Correct
2025 W7 · MIA at CLE	64% / 36%	6–31	59%	Miss
2025 W7 · NE at TEN	69% / 31%	31–13	63%	Correct
2025 W7 · NO at CHI	37% / 63%	14–26	57%	Correct
2025 W7 · NYG at DEN	20% / 80%	32–33	70%	Correct
2025 W7 · PHI at MIN	52% / 48%	28–22	49%	Correct
2025 W7 · PIT at CIN	71% / 29%	31–33	63%	Miss
2025 W7 · TB at DET	38% / 62%	9–24	58%	Correct
2025 W7 · WAS at DAL	51% / 49%	22–44	50%	Miss
2025 W6 · ARI at IND	34% / 66%	27–31	59%	Correct
2025 W6 · BUF at ATL	63% / 37%	14–24	54%	Miss
2025 W6 · CHI at WAS	36% / 64%	25–24	56%	Miss
2025 W6 · CIN at GB	25% / 75%	18–27	63%	Correct
2025 W6 · CLE at PIT	18% / 82%	9–23	68%	Correct
2025 W6 · DAL at CAR	60% / 40%	27–30	55%	Miss
2025 W6 · DEN at NYJ	71% / 29%	13–11	63%	Correct
2025 W6 · DET at KC	64% / 36%	17–30	58%	Miss
2025 W6 · LAC at MIA	56% / 44%	29–27	52%	Correct
2025 W6 · LAR at BAL	57% / 43%	17–3	53%	Correct
2025 W6 · NE at NO	57% / 43%	25–19	53%	Correct
2025 W6 · PHI at NYG	83% / 17%	17–34	71%	Miss
2025 W6 · SEA at JAX	60% / 40%	20–12	54%	Correct
2025 W6 · SF at TB	22% / 78%	19–30	67%	Correct
2025 W6 · TEN at LV	37% / 63%	10–20	57%	Correct
2025 W5 · DAL at NYJ	57% / 43%	37–22	50%	Correct
2025 W5 · DEN at PHI	34% / 66%	21–17	57%	Miss
2025 W5 · DET at CIN	79% / 21%	37–24	65%	Correct
2025 W5 · HOU at BAL	29% / 71%	44–10	60%	Miss
2025 W5 · KC at JAX	58% / 42%	28–31	51%	Miss
2025 W5 · LV at IND	25% / 75%	6–40	63%	Correct