Detroit Lions at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

DET

79%

CIN

21%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

37–24

Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.5 DET
• Scoring differential−0.4 DET
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 DET
• Rushing offense−0.3 DET